Starting Pitchers for Tuesday

Pitchers are ranked based on their projected fantasy points (FPTS) using ESPN's standard scoring system. Key metrics include handedness (T), opposing team (OPP), roster percentage (RST%), money line (ML), and over/under (O/U) for runs scored.

Top Pitchers:

• Bryan Woo (R, BOS): 12.6 FPTS, 59% win probability, 5.7 IP, 1.9 ER, 5.2 K
• Jesus Luzardo (L, @MIA): 12.3 FPTS, 60% win probability, 5.9 IP, 2.4 ER, 6.3 K
• Spencer Schwellenbach (R, NYM): 10.8 FPTS, 50% win probability, 6.0 IP, 2.9 ER, 5.8 K

Pitchers to Stream

• Ben Brown (R, CHC): Increased use of changeup to 8.2% in last three appearances. Facing Milwaukee Brewers, who have low wOBA against right-handers but are productive against changeups.
• Shane Smith (R, CWS): Potential AL Rookie of the Year, hasn't yielded more than three earned runs in any outing this season.
• Michael Soroka (R, ATL): Despite a high ERA, his xFIP and SIERA suggest better performance. Facing Colorado Rockies, who have low wOBA and high strikeout rate against righties.

Pitchers to Avoid

• Brandon Pfaadt (R, ARI): Recent performance improved but still risky on the road at Rogers Centre against Toronto Blue Jays, who have the lowest strikeout rate in the league.

Hitters to Stream

• Bailey Falter (L, PIT): Despite a decent ERA, his estimators suggest higher. Detroit Tigers' right-handed hitters like Spencer Torkelson and Javier Baez are good targets.

Hitters to Avoid

• Kansas City Royals: Lead the league in fewest stolen bases surrendered. Facing New York Mets, who have a high percentage of runners caught stealing.

Betting Tips

• Expected Value (EV): A measure of how good a bet is, factoring in the probability of winning versus the odds provided. For example, a bet with an EV of $25 means you would expect to make $25 in profit on a $100 investment.

Conclusion

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